> the most violent 1 to 2% should form a right-hand “tail” that begins 2.33–2.05
SD to the right of the mean propensity for homicide. If we eliminate this right-hand tail and leave only the other 98-99% to survive and reproduce, we have a selection differential of 0.027 to 0.049 SD per generation.
+https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Rhg27MqkxJsnZwoYg/the-codex-skeptic-faq
+https://freddiedeboer.substack.com/p/is-the-conventional-wisdom-on-educational
+
+https://richardhanania.substack.com/p/tetlock-and-the-taliban
The author probably doesn't believe in the typology (if she's even heard of it), but _the traits line up anyway_. Carrie is straight—gynephilic (["Guys just aren't my thing"](http://www.dolari.org/cs/16.htm), she tells her sister). Carrie's gay (androphilic) drag queen friend Victor/Victoria [doesn't understand Carrie's motivations](http://www.dolari.org/cs/67.htm): "Not to mention you don't _think_ like one of 'them'", she comments on Carrie's lack of innate femininity. (Anyone can see that effeminate gays taking on female roles "make sense"; autogynephilia is harder to understand if you haven't yourself felt the tug of the scintillating but ultimately untrue thought.) Heidi the (male) dominatrix [displays a working knowledge of the typology while coming on to Carrie](http://www.dolari.org/cs/268.htm): "We're both crossdressers, and we aren't anything like drag queens [...] sometimes I want to hang out with someone like me. Someone like you." Indeed!
+[TODO: "And I feel a longing" ... could she be more specific http://www.dolari.org/cs/231.htm]
+[TODO: pseudo-androphilia! http://www.dolari.org/cs/239.htm]
+
+A point of skepticism on the premise: it doesn't feel realistic to me that Carrie passes _to Allison_, particularly given that Carrie is _not on hormones yet_.
+
+
+
+[
+"are those real" http://www.dolari.org/cs/340.htm
+
+]
+
+
+_Closetspace_ seems to be on life support—there have only been five updates since 2019.
+
-pseudo-androphilia! http://www.dolari.org/cs/239.htm
-"And I feel a longing" ... could she be more specific http://www.dolari.org/cs/231.htm
-[TODO—paragraph about passing—
-As a quibble about realism, I'm not sure how Carrie manages to pass _without HRT_.
on passing—
How does Carrie pass? No one mistakes Texas revolutionary woman for a man just because she has short hair and wears men's clothes http://www.dolari.org/cs/23.htm
visit from niece/aunt http://www.dolari.org/cs/215.htm http://www.dolari.org/cs/216.htm
"One small gene, all these problems from one tiny little gene" http://www.dolari.org/cs/231.htm
"Chromosome" http://www.dolari.org/cs/232.htm (Actually, they're both right! The SRY gene is the active part of the Y chromosome)
-Allison is only three years in http://www.dolari.org/cs/317.htm
"in Thailand, no questions asked" http://www.dolari.org/cs/320.htm
ambiguity on what "Carrie" means!! (Carol vs. Carolyn this is actually relevant to me) http://www.dolari.org/cs/326.htm
nine months http://www.dolari.org/cs/332.htm
drag queens make Allison uncomfortable http://www.dolari.org/cs/253.htm http://www.dolari.org/cs/254.htm (Alison is committed to relative "stealth"; this isn't a "trans women are women" setting— )
+Timelines—
+Allison is only three years in http://www.dolari.org/cs/317.htm
+
+
+but the world of the '90s/'aughts]
+
----
_Lease Bound_ is the story of
> "The only thing standing in the way of my own progress," Sagreda said, "is that the forces that once dealt with us honestly have been buried too deep to reach. All I can touch now is the surface, which is shaped by nothing but whim."
>
> —["Bit Players"](https://subterraneanpress.com/magazine/winter_2014/bit_players_by_greg_egan) by Greg Egan
+
+> When truth is buried underground it grows, it chokes, it gathers such an explosive force that on the day it bursts out, it blows up everything with it.
+>
+> –Emile Zola
every day like the first
http://hannahtg1000.blogspot.com/2021/07/jake-and-rabbits-foot-finale.html
+a similar theme—
+https://some-tg-caps.blogspot.com/2021/08/male-brain.html
https://medium.com/@notCursedE/a-glossary-of-transphobia-a31a001d279
Policy debates should not appear one-sided. "It's being clear about why the restaurant is offering two, and only two, and specifically these two, toy choices" is a reason. Liberal anti-gender-role individualists like us don't think it's a sufficiently strong reason to outweigh the externality, but the concern about externalities is value-laden; protesting, "Oh, I'm only asking you to be _specific_, no ideological agenda here!" would be a lie.
More small world: CronoDAS (a LWer) on /r/slaythespire https://www.reddit.com/r/slaythespire/comments/p92011/my_first_defect_heart_kill_ascension_6/
+
+A stronger skeptical position than "delusional / confused / making it up" would be that recent cultural developments are encouraging people with underlying gender-role-non-conformant psychological predispositions to conceptually reify those feelings as a "gender identity", when people with the same underlying tendencies in previous generations wouldn't have thought about it that way: the same people who would have been "tomboys" or "butch women" or "women who have short hair in order to credibly signal gender-role-non-conformity" in (say) the year 2011, are now much more likely to think of themselves as "not a woman". The "if you have these feelings, you're almost certainly not cis" argument presupposes an ontology of human psychology under which some people "are cis" or "are trans" (as an underlying state of being, distinct from both biological sex, and the state of having undergone social or medical interventions to resemble the other sex), which is exactly what the skeptics are contesting!
+
+a.f.a.b. enbies and TERFs are sampled from the same underlying psychological phenotype (say, females with less-than-30th-percentile conventional femininity), and the difference between them is ideological/cultural
+
+https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/10/19/1010646/campaign-stop-covid-19-vaccine-trump-election-day/
+
+> The untrained male has an instinct to seize and guard a woman's reproductive capacity, instinctively using violence to stop her from interacting with other men at the same that he instinctively displays other forms of commitment to try to earn her acquiescence. The untrained female has adaptations that assume an environment in which men will try to pressure her into more sex than is optimal for her own reproductive fitness, so her adaptations push her to instinctively resist that pressure while also instinctively trying to increase the number and quality of men who'll be interested in her. There is a long-running dichotomy-tradeoff-argument in dath ilan between the position that this is just stupid, and somewhat evil, and was structurally evil back when some of the first sexually recombinant organisms started to specialize in injecting their genes into other organisms; and that current humans should opt out entirely from the more conflicty and combative ways that sex evolved to work, starting with using mental discipline to counteract those tendencies and eventually trying to select them out of humanity's descendants. Versus the position that it's (1) not that bad, (2) actually quite fun in saner versions, and (3) now baked into humanity's core utility function as a top-level value that is not up for debate from merely instrumental considerations or how it originated a billion years earlier. Almost nobody completely believes in either implausibly-oversimplified-policy-stance extreme, of course, but people differ in where they place themselves on that spectrum of opinion.
+https://www.glowfic.com/posts/4508?page=14
+
+> Real people have concepts of their own minds, and contemplate their prior ideas of themselves in relation to a continually observed flow of their actual thoughts, and try to improve both their self-models and their selves.
+
+"Structural, Functional, and Metabolic Brain Differences as a Function of Gender Identity or Sexual Orientation: A Systematic Review of the Human Neuroimaging Literature"
+https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10508-021-02005-9
+
+https://lisaselindavis.substack.com/p/de-platformed-the-musical
projects / Ultimately_Untrue_Thought.git / commitdiff