check in: towards a November (bottom half) blog activity burst?

Activity on The Scintillating But Ultimately Untrue Thought is
sometimes "bursty", as I devote attention to the blog (in weeks that
my writing attention isn't focused on Less Wrong), as in April 2020
and December 2019. Maybe November 2019 will be another one of those,
capped by "Sexual Dimorphism" (if I can buckle down and finish it)?

Sometimes the motivation to backlink something from a big post
inspires small posts; for example, the reason I bothered to blog my
old stray thought about the reverse Murray rule is because I thought
it would be funny to backlink it from my Human Diversity review. The
Haskell survey data is similar: I left a Reddit comment about the 2018
survey
(https://www.reddit.com/r/haskell/comments/9yaj1w/2018_state_of_haskell_survey_results/ebm849g/),
but I want a proper post specifically for the "These days, most of the
women" line in "Sexual Dimorphism". The Sapir–Whorf paper is cool and
on-theme but also specifically would make a good backlink in the
"Harms From Misleading Training Data" effortpost on my horizon.

But my audience isn't going to be reading this Git commit message;
they're going to be reading the blog. Let's go! Already.

diff --git a/content/drafts/nixon-on-what-you-cant-say.md b/content/drafts/nixon-on-what-you-cant-say.md
new file mode 100644 (file)
index 0000000..ecad316
--- /dev/null
+++ b/content/drafts/nixon-on-what-you-cant-say.md
@@ -0,0 +1,9 @@
+Title: Nixon on What You Can't Say
+Date: 2021-01-01
+Category: other
+Tags: quotepost, video, Richard Nixon
+Status: draft
+
+https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PwXOEFK6Swo
+
+more on don't say it 18:30

diff --git a/content/drafts/survey-data-on-the-ratio-of-cis-to-trans-women-among-haskell-programmers.md b/content/drafts/survey-data-on-the-ratio-of-cis-to-trans-women-among-haskell-programmers.md
new file mode 100644 (file)
index 0000000..a2db879
--- /dev/null
+++ b/content/drafts/survey-data-on-the-ratio-of-cis-to-trans-women-among-haskell-programmers.md
@@ -0,0 +1,18 @@
+Title: Survey Data on Cis and Trans Women Among Haskell Programmers
+Date: 2021-01-01
+Category: other
+Tags: Haskell, sex differences
+Status: draft
+
+Stereotypically, computer programming is both a predominantly male profession and the quintessential profession of non-exclusively-androphilic trans women. Stereotypically, these demographic trends are even more pronounced in "niche" or hobbyist technology communities (_e.g._, Rust), rather than those with more established mainstream use (_e.g._, JavaScript).
+
+But stereotypes can be _wrong_! The heuristic process by which people's brains form stereotypes from experience are riddled with biases that prevent our mental model of what people are like from matching what people are _actually_ like. Unless you believe [a woman is more likely to be a feminist bank teller than a bank teller (which is _mathematically impossible_)](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conjunction_fallacy), you're best off seeking _hard numbers_ about what people are like rather than relying on mere stereotypes.
+
+Fortunately, sometimes hard numbers are available! Taylor Fausak has been administering an annual State of Haskell survey [since 2017](https://taylor.fausak.me/2017/11/15/2017-state-of-haskell-survey-results/), and the [2018](https://taylor.fausak.me/2018/11/18/2018-state-of-haskell-survey-results/), [2019](https://taylor.fausak.me/2019/11/16/haskell-survey-results/), and [2020](TODO: linky) surveys include optional "What is your gender?" and "Do you identify as transgender?" questions, as well as the anonymous response data. 
+
+
+https://taylor.fausak.me/2018/11/18/2018-state-of-haskell-survey-results/
+https://taylor.fausak.me/2019/11/16/haskell-survey-results/
+https://haskellweekly.news/survey/2020.html
+
+(closes on the 15th; if I want to publish before the 2020 edition is out, I can backport updates)

diff --git a/notes/notes.txt b/notes/notes.txt
index c3afb4e..606f3fa 100644 (file)
--- a/notes/notes.txt
+++ b/notes/notes.txt
@@ -2167,3 +2167,6 @@ https://www.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/jdvqk5/culture_war_roundup_for_the_we
 > This is because once they hit puberty, no one wants young men around unless they're recruiting for a terrorist cell. [...] Whereas literally everyone wants young women. They come off as determined to be fuckups because they're being actively courted/recruited. Boys are left to fuck up their own lives.
 
 A vote for Kelly Loeffler is a vote for gridlock! A vote for gridlock is a vote to hit the brakes on our ongoing cultural revolution! A vote to hit the brakes is vengeance for Steve Hsu! A civilization that can't avenge Steve Hsu is DEAD (sooner or later and probably sooner) 2/2
+
+> Somebody can be born with a wiener, but not be a boy. Somebody else can be a boy, but not have a wiener.
+https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-do-boys-have-wieners/

diff --git a/notes/post_ideas.txt b/notes/post_ideas.txt
index 0402880..db8b844 100644 (file)
--- a/notes/post_ideas.txt
+++ b/notes/post_ideas.txt
@@ -1,14 +1,17 @@
-Filler—
-✓ The Feeling Is Mutual
-✓ Interlude XX
-- Comment on "The Sapir-Whorf Hypothesis and Probabilistic Inference"
-_ Ratios of Cis to Trans Women in State of Haskell Surveys (for "most of the women" mention in "Sexual Dimorphism") https://taylor.fausak.me/2018/11/18/2018-state-of-haskell-survey-results/ https://taylor.fausak.me/2019/11/16/haskell-survey-results/ https://haskellweekly.news/survey/2020.html (closes on the 15th; if I want to publish before the 2020 edition is out, I can backport updates)
-_ The Causality of Ethnic Differences in COVID-19 Outcomes Is an Open Empirical Question
-_ Novemember 2020 Political Notes; Or, Sen. Kelly Loeffler Is Mostly Living in a Simulation Now
-_ Amy Wax linkpost
-_ Nixon on What You Can't Say quotepost? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PwXOEFK6Swo more on don't say it 18:30
+November activity sequence—
+16 Nov - Amy Wax linkpost
+17 Nov - The Causality of Ethnic Differences in COVID-19 Outcomes Is an Open
+18 Nov ✓ Interlude XX
+20 Nov _ Nixon on What You Can't Say
+22 Nov - Survey Data on Cis and Trans Women Among Haskell Programmers
+24 Nov ✓ The Feeling Is Mutual
+26 Nov - Comment on "The Sapir-Whorf Hypothesis and Probabilistic Inference"
+28 Nov - Sexual Dimorphism in Yudkowsky's Sequences, in Relation to My Gender
+
 
 
+_ Novemember 2020 Political Notes; Or, Sen. Kelly Loeffler Is Mostly Living in a Simulation Now
+
 Main path (important posts)—
 
 Milestone—